Talk at Howard

Here are the slides for my talk at the “Howard University Math-Bio Virtual Workshop on Mitigation of Future Pandemics”  last Saturday. One surprising thing (to me) the model predicted, shown on slide 40, is that the median fraction of those previously infected or vaccinated (or both) was 40% or higher during the omicron wave. I was pleased and relieved to then find that recent CDC serology results validate this prediction.